FOCRAII 2008 Final Programme



FOCRAII 2008 Final Programme

April 9 (Wednesday), 2008


LocationLobby of Beijing Climate Center

Opening Ceremony (09:00-10:00) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)

Chair:                  LI Weijing

09:00-09:10         Welcome address by head of CMA

09:10-09:20        Address by WMO representative (Ms. Leslie MALONE)

09:20-09:30         Address by Executive Director-General of BCC (Dr. XIAO Ziniu)

09:30-10:00         Group Photo and Tea Break

Invited Lectures (10:00-12:00) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)

Chair:          Chih-Pei CHANG

110:00-10:40   Methods and tools for climate adaptation: WMO initiatives


210:40-11:20   Terrain Effects on Southeast Asian Monsoon


3) 11:20-12:00    Diagnosis of the atmospheric circulation in winter 2007/08 focusing on unusually strong Siberian high and cold surges over Asia


Lunch (12:00-13:30) (CMA’s guesthouse restaurant)

Session 1Prediction on East Asian Summer Monsoon and summer climate in 2008 (13:30-18:00) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)

Invited Lectures (13:30-14:10)

Chair:      Liqiang SUN

4)13:30-14:10    Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation (TBO) and Summer Precipitation in China


5)14:10-14:50     Regional Climate Modeling in Seasonal Climate Prediction: Advances and Future Directions

Liqiang SUN, IRI, USA

Oral Presentations (14:50-15:50)

Topic I: Overview of Recent Climate and Climate Change

6) 14:50-15:10     Climate and flood in Cambodia

BIN Chann Mony, DOM, Cambodia

7) 15:10-15:30  TBD

Md. Shadekul ALAM, Bangladesh Meteorological Department

8) 15:30-15:50     Overview of Recent Climate over Korea

LEE, Hyun-Soo, CPD/KMA


15:50-16:10    Tea Break


Oral Presentations (16:10-17:50)

Chair:      Kumi HAYASHI

Topic I: Overview of Recent Climate and Climate Change (cont.)

9)16:10-16:30     An Analysis of the Snow Storms Affecting China in January 2008

Song YANG, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center

10)16:30-16:50   Characters of Meteorological Disasters Caused by the Extreme Synoptic Process in early 2008 in China

      WANG Zunya, BCC/CMA

11)16:50-17:10   Wind Condition Changes in Kazakhstan

Bayan SAZANOVA, Kazhydromet

12)17:10-17:30    Climate in Bahrain

Nader Ahmed Abdulla Mahmood, CAA, Bahrain

13)17:30-17:50    Assessment of Recent Dry Spell and Impacts of La Niña in the Philippines

              Rusy G. ABASTILLAS, PAGASA-DOST

Reception by BCC (18:00-20:00) (Hubei Hotel, 36 Zhongguancun Nandajie)


April 10 (Thursday), 2008

Invited Lectures (08:30-10:30) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)

Chair:             Song Yang

14)08:30-09:10    Improving Observational Data Towards Better Climate Monitoring,

Assessment and Prediction - A Regional Perspective


15)09:10-09:50   Monitoring and prediction of the Asian-Australian and Indo-Pacific climate

Song YANG, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center

16)09:50-10:30   The APCC prediction efforts: Operations and Research

Karumuri ASHOK, APCC, Korea

10:30-10:50       Tea Break


Session 1 (cont.) Prediction on East Asian Summer Monsoon and summer climate in 2008 (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)

Oral Presentations (10:50-12:10)

Session 1 Topic II: Climate Prediction System and Modeling

Chair:            Karumuri ASHOK

17)10:50-11:10    Application of Long-term Climatic Models on the Territory of Tajikistan

Shakhlo RADZHABOVA, MFC, Tajikistan

18)11:10-11:30   Multiyear Hindcast Simulations of Summer Monsoon over Pakistan by Using a Nested Regional Climate Model (BCC_RegCM1.0)


19)11:30-11:50   Application Time-Frecuency Wavelet Analyse for the Validation and Verification the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Model Output

Erwin Eka Syahputra MAKMUR, IMGA, Indonesia

20)11:50-12:10   High Resolution Climate Modeling in Indonesia: Lessons Learned from Applications of Rainfall Prediction in Regency/District Scale

Fierra SETYAWAN, IMGA, Indonesia


Lunch (12:10-13:30) (CMA’s guesthouse restaurant)


Oral Presentations (13:30-18:00) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)

Session 1 Topic III: Seasonal Climate Prediction of the summer 2008 over East Asia Area

Chair:            SUN Zhaobo

21)13:30-13:50    Seasonal Outlook of the 2008 Summer

LEE, Jeong-Seog, CPD/KMA

22)13:50-14:10    Seasonal Outlook of 2008 Summer by the METRI/KMA CPS


23)14:10-14:30   JMA's Seasonal Forecast for 2008 Summer

Ryuji YAMADA, TCC/JMA, Japan

24)14:30-14:50    Seasonal Outlook of the 2008 Summer: East Asia Monsoon and Precipitation Anomalies in China


25)14:50-15:10    Summer Precipitation Prediction and Interdecadal Variations in East China

SUN Zhaobo, NUIST, China

26)15:10-15:30   Prediction of the Tropical Storm Activity over the Northwest Pacific and South China Sea in 2008

JIA Xiaolong, BCC/CMA


15:30-15:50  Tea Break

Topic III (cont.): Seasonal Climate Prediction of the summer 2008 over East Asia Area

Chair:            H. Joe KWON, CPD/KMA

27)15:50-16:10    Forecast for 2008 Rainy Season

LEONG Weng Kun, MGB, Macao, China

28)16:10-16:30    Monthly Temperature and Rainfall Forecasts for Hong Kong

LEE Sai Ming, HKO

29)16:30-16:50  Latest IRI Seasonal Climate Forecasts

                            Liqiang Sun, IRI, USA

30)16:50-17:10    Seasonal prediction of TC activity and its validations

H. Joe KWON, Kongju National University, Korea

31)17:10-17:30   Outlook of Summer Prediction over East Asian in 2008 by DCMPS/BCC

KE Zongjian, BCC/CMA

32)17:30-17:50    ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions

HAN Rongqin, BCC/CMA

33)17:50-18:10    Prediction of 2008 summer climate anomalies over Asia by IAP DCP



Dinner (18:30-19:30) (CMA’s guesthouse restaurant)


April 11 (Friday), 2008

Invited Lectures (08:30-09:10) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)

Chair:      QIAN Weihong

34)08:30-09:10    Developments in Extended and Long-range Forecasting at the Hadley Centre

Richard Graham, Hadley Center, Met Office

Session 2: Climate Information Application09:10-10 :30

35)09:10-09:30  Floods Risks Mapping Assessment in Burundi, Case Study of Burundi with ICPAC


36)09:30-09:50    Projection on the 2008 Summer Climate from the Air-Sea Coupled Relation in the Last Two Decades

QIAN Weihong, Peking University, China

37)09:50-10:10    Climate Monitoring,Assessment And Prediction For Myanmar

Chit Kyaw, DMH, Myanmar

38)10:10-10:30   Climate Monitoring and Long-range Forecast in Laos

                            Vanhdy Douangmala, DMH, Laos


10:30-10:50   Tea Break


Session 3: Discussion and Summary (10:50-12:10)

Chair:           DING Yihui

A summary of predictions on Asian summer 2008 climate will be produced together by BCC/CMA, CPC/NOAA, IMD, IRI, Hadley Center/UK, JMA, KMA and other NMHSs from Asia.

Closing Ceremony (12:10-12:30)

Chair:      XIAO Ziniu

12:10-12:20                Speech by representative of FOCRAII participants

12:20-12:30         Address by representative of CMA

Lunch (12:30-14:00) (CMA’s guesthouse restaurant)


14:00-19:00 Technical Excursion (short bus tour to Sites of Olympic Games)

Dinner (19:00-20:00) (CMA’s guesthouse restaurant)